2 matches are on Tuesday's card at Tolentino, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Maria Lourdes Carle against Nuria Brancaccio in the round of 32. Our calls: Brancaccio over Carle, Gorgodze over Pigossi.
Pick: Gorgodze
Win probability: 56% Gorgodze · Market: -116 · We call it in 3 sets (43%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (32%)
Ekaterine Gorgodze and Laura Pigossi meet in the round of 32 at Tolentino on Tuesday. Ekaterine Gorgodze comes in at 3 wins from the last ten. Laura Pigossi is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (3 of the last 10).
Ekaterine Gorgodze simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Gorgodze fractionally more likely to land the big points.
Pick: Brancaccio
Win probability: 53% Brancaccio · Market: -135 · We call it in 3 sets (45%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (29%)
Maria Lourdes Carle and Nuria Brancaccio meet in the round of 32 at Tolentino on Tuesday. Nuria Brancaccio has dropped 2 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten. Maria Lourdes Carle has dropped 2 straight and sits at 3-7 over the last ten.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Little separates them; Brancaccio gets the nod on the finest of margins.
Sign up for the daily desk email and our nine-chapter beginner's guide to trading sports prediction markets comes free as a PDF. One email a day with the day's free picks in full, unsubscribe anytime.