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Curitiba Predictions & Picks — October 1, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · October 1, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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2 matches are on Thursday's card at Curitiba, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Genaro Alberto Olivieri against Pedro Boscardin Dias in the round of 16. Our calls: Dias over Olivieri, Guido over Sakamoto.

Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Pedro Boscardin Dias

✓ Pick rightWe got this one right. Pedro Boscardin Dias was our 52% pick, and won 6-4 6-2.

Pick: Dias

Win probability: 52% Dias · Market: -121 · We call it in 3 sets (51%) · single likeliest score 2-1 (26%)

A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Genaro Alberto Olivieri goes up against Pedro Boscardin Dias in the Curitiba round of 16. Pedro Boscardin Dias comes in at 4 wins from the last ten. Genaro Alberto Olivieri comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.

The serve is where this match separates: Dias has been winning 65.3% of first-serve points to Olivieri's 61.8%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. Olivieri comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Dias gets the nod on the finest of margins.

Ivan Justo Guido vs Pedro Sakamoto

✓ Pick rightThis one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 68% on Ivan Justo Guido, who won 6-2 6-4.

Pick: Guido

Win probability: 68% Guido · We call it in 3 sets (43%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (40%)

A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Ivan Justo Guido goes up against Pedro Sakamoto in the Curitiba round of 16. Ivan Justo Guido is 5-5 across recent matches. Pedro Sakamoto comes in at 3 wins from the last ten.

Ivan Justo Guido is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Guido around 68%. Guido comes in off a compressed schedule; Sakamoto comes in off a compressed schedule. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Guido.

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Updated Oct 1, 2026, 6:31 AM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.