3 matches are on Friday's card at Mouilleron-Le-Captif, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Clement Chidekh against Harold Mayot in the quarterfinal. Our calls: Mayot over Chidekh, Wayenburg over Tabur, Schwaerzler over Poullain.
Pick: Schwaerzler
Win probability: 52% Schwaerzler · Market: -144 · We call it in 3 sets (49%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (26%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Joel Schwaerzler goes up against Lucas Poullain in the Mouilleron-Le-Captif quarterfinal. Joel Schwaerzler has won 7 of the last 10. Lucas Poullain comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.
Hold strength tells the story — 70.4% versus 63% on first-serve points in Schwaerzler's favor. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Schwaerzler is exactly that — a lean.
Pick: Wayenburg
Win probability: 56% Wayenburg · Market: -123 · We call it in 3 sets (51%) · single likeliest score 2-1 (28%)
Friday's Mouilleron-Le-Captif quarterfinal pits Clement Tabur against Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg on hard. Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg brings a 7-match winning streak into this one, 8-2 across the last ten. Clement Tabur comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Little separates them; Wayenburg gets the nod on the finest of margins.
Pick: Mayot
Win probability: 56% Mayot · Market: +111 · We call it in 3 sets (51%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (28%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Clement Chidekh goes up against Harold Mayot in the Mouilleron-Le-Captif quarterfinal. Harold Mayot is 8-2 across recent matches. Clement Chidekh is 7-3 across recent matches.
Harold Mayot is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Mayot around 56%. Mayot comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Mayot gets the nod on the finest of margins.
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