One match is on Saturday's card at Columbus, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Abedallah Shelbayh against Mitchell Krueger in the semifinal. Our calls: Krueger over Shelbayh.
The boldest call on the card: Krueger over Shelbayh — the market disagrees with us there.
Pick: KruegerUpset call
Upset call: the market makes Shelbayh the favorite; our numbers say Krueger.
Win probability: 50% Krueger · Market: +125 · We call it in 3 sets (49%) · single likeliest score 2-1 (25%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Abedallah Shelbayh goes up against Mitchell Krueger in the Columbus semifinal. Mitchell Krueger is rolling — 3 straight wins, 6 of 10 in recent play. Abedallah Shelbayh is rolling — 3 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play.
The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. Shelbayh comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Krueger gets the nod on the finest of margins.
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