One match is on Sunday's card at Jingshan, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Lloyd Harris against Mattia Bellucci in the final. Our calls: Harris over Bellucci.
Pick: Harris
Win probability: 54% Harris · Market: -110 · We call it in 3 sets (42%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (31%)
The Jingshan title is on the line on Sunday, when Lloyd Harris meets Mattia Bellucci. Lloyd Harris is rolling — 3 straight wins, 7 of 10 in recent play. Mattia Bellucci comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.
Hold strength tells the story — 74.3% versus 71.1% on first-serve points in Harris's favor. Bellucci comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Harris fractionally more likely to land the big points.
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