3 matches are on Tuesday's card at Samsun, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Lola Radivojevic against Oksana Selekhmeteva in the round of 32. Our calls: Selekhmeteva over Radivojevic, Kostovic over Akugue, Stefanini over Monnet.
Pick: Stefanini
Win probability: 56% Stefanini · Market: -267 · We call it in 3 sets (44%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (32%)
Tuesday's Samsun round of 32 pits Carole Monnet against Lucrezia Stefanini on hard. Lucrezia Stefanini has dropped 2 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten. Carole Monnet limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Stefanini fractionally more likely to land the big points.
Pick: Selekhmeteva
Win probability: 60% Selekhmeteva · Market: -202 · We call it in 3 sets (47%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (33%)
Lola Radivojevic and Oksana Selekhmeteva meet in the round of 32 at Samsun on Tuesday. Oksana Selekhmeteva comes in at 6 wins from the last ten. Lola Radivojevic has dropped 3 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Selekhmeteva — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
Pick: Kostovic
Win probability: 55% Kostovic · Market: -193 · We call it in 3 sets (43%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (32%)
Noma Noha Akugue and Teodora Kostovic meet in the round of 32 at Samsun on Tuesday. Teodora Kostovic is 3-7 across recent matches. Noma Noha Akugue has won 6 of the last 10.
Hold strength tells the story — 63.9% versus 59.9% on first-serve points in Kostovic's favor. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Kostovic is exactly that — a lean.
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