3 matches are on Wednesday's card at Braga, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Luka Mikrut against Sumit Nagal in the round of 32. Our calls: Mikrut over Nagal, Cecchinato over Wallin, Tiffon over Pereira.
Pick: Tiffon
Win probability: 65% Tiffon · Market: -157 · We call it in 2 sets (58%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (38%)
Pol Martin Tiffon and T. Pereira meet in the round of 32 at Braga on Wednesday. Pol Martin Tiffon has dropped 2 straight and sits at 6-4 over the last ten. T. Pereira is 4-6 across recent matches.
Pol Martin Tiffon is clearly higher-rated on clay — our number puts Tiffon around 65%. Tiffon should have enough here, though Pereira has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
Pick: Cecchinato
Win probability: 63% Cecchinato · Market: -202 · We call it in 2 sets (59%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (38%)
Marco Cecchinato and Olle Wallin meet in the round of 32 at Braga on Wednesday. Marco Cecchinato has won 6 of the last 10. Olle Wallin has won 3 of the last 10.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Cecchinato.
Pick: Mikrut
Win probability: 65% Mikrut · Market: -268 · We call it in 3 sets (48%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (34%)
Wednesday's Braga round of 32 pits Luka Mikrut against Sumit Nagal on clay. Luka Mikrut has won 8 of the last 10. Sumit Nagal is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (4 of the last 10).
The serve is where this match separates: Mikrut has been winning 70.9% of first-serve points to Nagal's 62%, and on clay that gap compounds fast. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Mikrut.
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