2 matches are on Wednesday's card at Suzhou, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Aliaksandra Sasnovich against Linda Fruhvirtova in the round of 16. Our calls: Sasnovich over Fruhvirtova, Liu over Sramkova.
Pick: Liu
Win probability: 63% Liu · Market: -183 · We call it in 2 sets (61%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (39%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Claire Liu goes up against Rebecca Sramkova in the Suzhou round of 16. Claire Liu is 7-3 across recent matches. Rebecca Sramkova is 3-7 across recent matches.
The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. The edge belongs to Liu — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
Pick: Sasnovich
Win probability: 64% Sasnovich · Market: -184 · We call it in 2 sets (63%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (42%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Aliaksandra Sasnovich goes up against Linda Fruhvirtova in the Suzhou round of 16. Aliaksandra Sasnovich has won 5 of the last 10. Linda Fruhvirtova is 1-9 across recent matches.
Aliaksandra Sasnovich simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Sasnovich.
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