2 matches are on Friday's card at Samsun, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Anna Blinkova against Bianca Andreescu in the quarterfinal. Our calls: Andreescu over Blinkova, Sakatsume over Waltert.
Pick: Sakatsume
Win probability: 52% Sakatsume · Market: -102 · We call it in 2 sets (59%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (31%)
Friday's Samsun quarterfinal pits Himeno Sakatsume against Simona Waltert on hard. Himeno Sakatsume has won 5 of the last 10. Simona Waltert has won 5 of the last 10.
Himeno Sakatsume is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Sakatsume around 52%. Waltert comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Sakatsume fractionally more likely to land the big points.
Pick: Andreescu
Win probability: 52% Andreescu · Market: +101 · We call it in 2 sets (60%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (31%)
Friday's Samsun quarterfinal pits Anna Blinkova against Bianca Andreescu on hard. Bianca Andreescu is 4-6 across recent matches. Anna Blinkova comes in at 8 wins from the last ten.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Blinkova comes in off a compressed schedule; Andreescu comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Andreescu gets the nod on the finest of margins.
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