One match is on Thursday's card at Lisbon (Portugal), and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Francesca Jones against Francisca Jorge in the round of 16. Our calls: Jones over Jorge.
Pick: Jones
Win probability: 72% Jones · Market: -361 · We call it in 2 sets (60%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (44%)
Thursday's Lisbon (Portugal) round of 16 pits Francesca Jones against Francisca Jorge on clay. Francesca Jones comes in at 8 wins from the last ten. Francisca Jorge has dropped 2 straight and sits at 5-5 over the last ten.
Jones's 62% behind the first serve (against 58.4% for Jorge) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. Jones comes in off a compressed schedule; Jorge comes in off a compressed schedule. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Jones.
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