One match is on Monday's card at Ningbo, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Mili Poljicak against Yuta Shimizu in the round of 32. Our calls: Shimizu over Poljicak.
Pick: Shimizu
Win probability: 57% Shimizu · Market: -109 · We call it in 3 sets (53%) · single likeliest score 2-1 (30%)
Mili Poljicak and Yuta Shimizu meet in the round of 32 at Ningbo on Monday. Yuta Shimizu has won 4 of the last 10. Mili Poljicak limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10.
Yuta Shimizu simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Shimizu fractionally more likely to land the big points.
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