One match is on Monday's card at Tokyo, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Daria Kasatkina against Talia Gibson in the round of 32. Our calls: Gibson over Kasatkina.
Pick: Gibson
Win probability: 56% Gibson · Market: +115 · We call it in 2 sets (59%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (33%)
Monday's Tokyo round of 32 pits Daria Kasatkina against Talia Gibson on hard. Talia Gibson has won 5 of the last 10. Daria Kasatkina is searching for form, having lost 7 in a row (1 of the last 10).
Hold strength tells the story — 64.1% versus 59.1% on first-serve points in Gibson's favor. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Gibson fractionally more likely to land the big points.
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