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Guangzhou Predictions & Picks — October 28, 2026

By The Maiden Desk · October 28, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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3 matches are on Wednesday's card at Guangzhou, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Katerina Siniakova against Lanlana Tararudee in the round of 32. Our calls: Siniakova over Tararudee, Tjen over Dart, Badosa over Kraus.

Paula Badosa vs Sinja Kraus

✓ Pick rightWe got this one right. Paula Badosa was our 66% pick, and won 6-1 6-4.

Pick: Badosa

Win probability: 66% Badosa · Market: -210 · We call it in 2 sets (65%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (44%)

A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Paula Badosa goes up against Sinja Kraus in the Guangzhou round of 16. Paula Badosa has won 6 of the last 10. Sinja Kraus comes in at 6 wins from the last ten.

The serve is where this match separates: Badosa has been winning 65% of first-serve points to Kraus's 58.7%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Badosa should have enough here, though Kraus has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.

Katerina Siniakova vs Lanlana Tararudee

✓ Pick rightWe got this one right. Katerina Siniakova was our 61% pick, and won 2-6 6-1 6-4.

Pick: Siniakova

Win probability: 61% Siniakova · Market: -195 · We call it in 2 sets (60%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (37%)

Wednesday's Guangzhou round of 32 pits Katerina Siniakova against Lanlana Tararudee on hard. Katerina Siniakova is rolling — 4 straight wins, 6 of 10 in recent play. Lanlana Tararudee comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.

Katerina Siniakova simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Siniakova — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.

Harriet Dart vs Janice Tjen

✗ Pick wrongWe got this one wrong. Our final number was 62% on Janice Tjen; Harriet Dart won 6-4 3-6 6-3.

Pick: Tjen

Win probability: 62% Tjen · Market: -190 · We call it in 2 sets (63%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (41%)

Wednesday's Guangzhou round of 16 pits Harriet Dart against Janice Tjen on hard. Janice Tjen limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 4 wins in 10. Harriet Dart comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.

Hold strength tells the story — 68.5% versus 63.6% on first-serve points in Tjen's favor. Tjen arrives with very little recovery time. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Tjen.

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Updated Oct 27, 2026, 2:01 AM UTC. Picks are frozen before first serve and graded on the track record page — this page is never edited after the fact.

Guangzhou Predictions & Picks — October 28, 2026 | Maiden