2 matches are on Thursday's card at Brest, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Clement Tabur against Toby Samuel in the round of 16. Our calls: Samuel over Tabur, Djere over Travaglia.
Pick: Samuel
Win probability: 63% Samuel · Market: -147 · We call it in 2 sets (59%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (38%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Clement Tabur goes up against Toby Samuel in the Brest round of 16. Toby Samuel is 5-5 across recent matches. Clement Tabur comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.
Toby Samuel simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Tabur comes in off a compressed schedule. The edge belongs to Samuel — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
Pick: Djere
Win probability: 55% Djere · Market: -237 · We call it in 2 sets (59%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (33%)
Laslo Djere and Stefano Travaglia meet in the round of 16 at Brest on Thursday. Laslo Djere is 8-2 across recent matches. Stefano Travaglia comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Djere fractionally more likely to land the big points.
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