One match is on Thursday's card at Sioux Falls, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Darwin Blanch against Mitchell Krueger in the round of 16. Our calls: Blanch over Krueger.
Pick: Blanch
Win probability: 64% Blanch · Market: -260 · We call it in 3 sets (47%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (35%)
Thursday's Sioux Falls round of 16 pits Darwin Blanch against Mitchell Krueger on hard. Darwin Blanch is 8-2 across recent matches. Mitchell Krueger has won 7 of the last 10.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Blanch.
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