2 matches are on Friday's card at Brest, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Otto Virtanen against Stefano Travaglia in the quarterfinal. Our calls: Virtanen over Travaglia, Prizmic over Cina.
Pick: Prizmic
Win probability: 66% Prizmic · Market: -201 · We call it in 3 sets (45%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (37%)
Friday's Brest quarterfinal pits Dino Prizmic against Federico Cina on hard. Dino Prizmic is 6-4 across recent matches. Federico Cina has won 5 of the last 10.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Prizmic — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
Pick: Virtanen
Win probability: 61% Virtanen · Market: -280 · We call it in 3 sets (45%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (35%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Otto Virtanen goes up against Stefano Travaglia in the Brest quarterfinal. Otto Virtanen comes in at 4 wins from the last ten. Stefano Travaglia comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.
The serve is where this match separates: Virtanen has been winning 73.8% of first-serve points to Travaglia's 69.9%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Travaglia comes in off a compressed schedule. Virtanen should have enough here, though Travaglia has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.
Sign up for the daily desk email and our nine-chapter beginner's guide to trading sports prediction markets comes free as a PDF. One email a day with the day's free picks in full, unsubscribe anytime.