One match is on Friday's card at Guayaquil, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Nick Hardt against Valerio Aboian in the quarterfinal. Our calls: Aboian over Hardt.
The boldest call on the card: Aboian over Hardt — the market disagrees with us there.
Pick: AboianUpset call
Upset call: the market makes Hardt the favorite; our numbers say Aboian.
Win probability: 53% Aboian · Market: +144 · We call it in 3 sets (45%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (29%)
Nick Hardt and Valerio Aboian meet in the quarterfinal at Guayaquil on Friday. Valerio Aboian is 6-4 across recent matches. Nick Hardt has won 5 of the last 10.
Valerio Aboian simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. Hardt comes in off a compressed schedule; Aboian comes in off a compressed schedule. Little separates them; Aboian gets the nod on the finest of margins.
Sign up for the daily desk email and our nine-chapter beginner's guide to trading sports prediction markets comes free as a PDF. One email a day with the day's free picks in full, unsubscribe anytime.