One match is on Saturday's card at Guangzhou, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Kaitlin Quevedo against Lilli Tagger in the semifinal. Our calls: Tagger over Quevedo.
Pick: Tagger
Win probability: 57% Tagger · Market: -192 · We call it in 2 sets (63%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (36%)
Kaitlin Quevedo and Lilli Tagger meet in the semifinal at Guangzhou on Saturday. Lilli Tagger has won 5 of the last 10. Kaitlin Quevedo is 8-2 across recent matches.
Hold strength tells the story — 67.4% versus 61.9% on first-serve points in Tagger's favor. Quevedo comes in off a compressed schedule; Tagger comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Tagger is exactly that — a lean.
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