One match is on Saturday's card at Ningbo, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Liam Broady against Petr Bar Biryukov in the semifinal. Our calls: Broady over Biryukov.
Pick: Broady
Win probability: 58% Broady · Market: -181 · We call it in 3 sets (43%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (34%)
Saturday's Ningbo semifinal pits Liam Broady against Petr Bar Biryukov on hard. Liam Broady is rolling — 3 straight wins, 4 of 10 in recent play. Petr Bar Biryukov has won 3 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Broady comes in off a compressed schedule; Biryukov comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Broady fractionally more likely to land the big points.
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