One match is on Saturday's card at Tokyo, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Kamilla Rakhimova against Leylah Fernandez in the semifinal. Our calls: Fernandez over Rakhimova.
Pick: Fernandez
Win probability: 69% Fernandez · Market: -257 · We call it in 2 sets (64%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (46%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Kamilla Rakhimova goes up against Leylah Fernandez in the Tokyo semifinal. Leylah Fernandez has won 7 of the last 10. Kamilla Rakhimova has won 6 of the last 10.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Rakhimova comes in off a compressed schedule. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Fernandez.
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