3 matches are on Monday's card at Cali, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Leyre Romero Gormaz against Polona Hercog in the round of 32. Our calls: Gormaz over Hercog, Jeanjean over Bronzetti, Sierra over Janicijevic.
Pick: Sierra
Win probability: 74% Sierra · Market: -304 · We call it in 2 sets (63%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (48%)
Selena Janicijevic and Solana Sierra meet in the round of 32 at Cali on Monday. Solana Sierra is 3-7 across recent matches. Selena Janicijevic has won 4 of the last 10.
Hold strength tells the story — 62.7% versus 59.6% on first-serve points in Sierra's favor. Janicijevic needs several things to break right at once; the percentages say they usually don't.
Pick: Jeanjean
Win probability: 50% Jeanjean · Market: -119 · We call it in 2 sets (62%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (31%)
Monday's Cali round of 32 pits Leolia Jeanjean against Lucia Bronzetti on clay. Leolia Jeanjean has dropped 3 straight and sits at 4-6 over the last ten. Lucia Bronzetti has won 6 of the last 10.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Jeanjean is exactly that — a lean.
Pick: Gormaz
Win probability: 52% Gormaz · Market: -161 · We call it in 3 sets (46%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (28%)
Leyre Romero Gormaz and Polona Hercog meet in the round of 32 at Cali on Monday. Leyre Romero Gormaz comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Polona Hercog has won 4 of the last 10.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Little separates them; Gormaz gets the nod on the finest of margins.
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