2 matches are on Monday's card at Costa do Sauipe, and we have a pick for every one of them. The headline act: Gustavo Heide against Ivan Justo Guido in the round of 32. Our calls: Heide over Guido, Moller over Kolar.
Pick: Moller
Win probability: 64% Moller · Market: -229 · We call it in 3 sets (44%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (37%)
Monday's Costa do Sauipe round of 32 pits Elmer Moller against Zdenek Kolar on clay. Elmer Moller is 7-3 across recent matches. Zdenek Kolar comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.
Elmer Moller simply rates much higher on clay, and our number follows from it. The edge belongs to Moller — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
Pick: Heide
Win probability: 63% Heide · We call it in 3 sets (44%) · single likeliest score 2-0 (37%)
A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Gustavo Heide goes up against Ivan Justo Guido in the Costa do Sauipe round of 32. Gustavo Heide has won 7 of the last 10. Ivan Justo Guido has won 7 in a row and 8 of the last 10 overall.
Heide's 71.6% behind the first serve (against 63.4% for Guido) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. The edge belongs to Heide — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
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