A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Abedallah Shelbayh goes up against Damir Dzumhur in the Villena round of 16. Damir Dzumhur is 6-4 across recent matches. Abedallah Shelbayh comes in at 7 wins from the last ten.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. Shelbayh comes in off a compressed schedule; Dzumhur comes in off a compressed schedule. The edge belongs to Dzumhur — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.