A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Abedallah Shelbayh goes up against Michael Mmoh in the Tiburon quarterfinal. Michael Mmoh is 7-3 across recent matches. Abedallah Shelbayh comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Mmoh.