Wednesday's Tiburon round of 16 pits Abedallah Shelbayh against Tristan Boyer on hard. Tristan Boyer is 5-5 across recent matches. Abedallah Shelbayh comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. The edge belongs to Boyer — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.