A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Adam Walton goes up against Arthur Gea in the Newport quarterfinal. Adam Walton is 8-2 across recent matches. Arthur Gea is 4-6 across recent matches.
There is no history here: this is their first tour-level meeting.
The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. Walton comes in off a compressed schedule; Gea comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Walton is exactly that — a lean.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Adam Walton | Arthur Gea |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 62.5% | 59.1% |
| 1st serve points won | 70.8% | 71.9% |
| 2nd serve points won | 53.5% | 51% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksTomorrow's card, before the first ball
One email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.