A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Adam Walton goes up against Bernard Tomic in the Newport round of 16. Adam Walton comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Bernard Tomic is 5-5 across recent matches.
The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.
The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. Walton comes in off a compressed schedule; Tomic comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Walton fractionally more likely to land the big points.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Adam Walton | Bernard Tomic |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 62.7% | 68% |
| 1st serve points won | 70.7% | 71.1% |
| 2nd serve points won | 53.4% | 50.1% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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