A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Adam Walton goes up against Bernard Tomic in the Newport round of 16. Adam Walton comes in at 7 wins from the last ten. Bernard Tomic is 5-5 across recent matches.

The two have never played — a first meeting always adds a layer of uncertainty the numbers can't fully capture.

The underlying stats are tight across the board — this is a matchup decided by a handful of points. Walton comes in off a compressed schedule; Tomic comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Walton fractionally more likely to land the big points.