A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Adam Walton goes up against Mattia Bellucci in the Jingshan round of 16. Mattia Bellucci limps in on a 2-match losing skid, just 3 wins in 10. Adam Walton has dropped 3 straight and sits at 3-7 over the last ten.
Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Walton comes in off a compressed schedule; Bellucci comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Bellucci fractionally more likely to land the big points.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Adam Walton | Mattia Bellucci |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 62.7% | 60.1% |
| 1st serve points won | 70.8% | 71.1% |
| 2nd serve points won | 52.2% | 51.4% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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