A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Adam Walton goes up against Nicolas Mejia in the Cincinnati first round. Adam Walton is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (5 of the last 10). Nicolas Mejia is 7-3 across recent matches.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Walton.