Washington · R16 · Hard · best of 3 · Jul 29, 2026, 11:45 PM UTC

Adrian Mannarino vs. Alex Michelsen — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · July 29, 2026

Every pick below gets graded after the match — wins and misses both stay up.

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Result

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Alex Michelsen won 6-4 7-6(3)

Nailed it. We had Alex Michelsen at 63% before the match, and Alex Michelsen won 6-4 7-6(3).

Wednesday's Washington round of 16 pits Adrian Mannarino against Alex Michelsen on hard. Alex Michelsen brings a 6-match winning streak into this one, 9-1 across the last ten. Adrian Mannarino is 5-5 across recent matches.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Michelsen.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Hard rating

Adrian Mannarino

1718

Alex Michelsen

1951

Overall rating

Adrian Mannarino

1710

Alex Michelsen

1915

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Adrian Mannarino	Alex Michelsen
1st serve in	59.9%	66.5%
1st serve points won	70.3%	69.7%
2nd serve points won	51.9%	51%

Form

Adrian Mannarino

5–5

Alex Michelsen

9–1

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Frequently asked questions

Who won Adrian Mannarino vs Alex Michelsen at Washington?: Alex Michelsen won 6-4 7-6(3).
Was the Adrian Mannarino vs Alex Michelsen prediction correct?: Nailed it. We had Alex Michelsen at 63% before the match, and Alex Michelsen won 6-4 7-6(3).