Denis Shapovalov won 6-7 6-3 6-2
This one lands on the correct side of the ledger: 64% on Denis Shapovalov, who won 6-7 6-3 6-2.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Sunday, when Adrian Mannarino goes up against Denis Shapovalov in the Chengdu quarterfinal. Denis Shapovalov has won 7 of the last 10. Adrian Mannarino is 4-6 across recent matches.
Shapovalov's 74.7% behind the first serve (against 70.3% for Mannarino) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. The edge belongs to Shapovalov — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Adrian Mannarino | Denis Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 59.9% | 58.8% |
| 1st serve points won | 70.3% | 74.7% |
| 2nd serve points won | 51.6% | 50.1% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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