Friday's Shanghai round of 64 pits Adrian Mannarino against Flavio Cobolli on hard. Flavio Cobolli has dropped 3 straight and sits at 6-4 over the last ten. Adrian Mannarino has won 4 of the last 10.

Flavio Cobolli simply rates much higher on hard, and our number follows from it. Cobolli should have enough here, though Mannarino has the tools to make the scoreboard uncomfortable.