Tuesday's Vienna round of 32 pits Adrian Mannarino against Ignacio Buse on hard. Adrian Mannarino has won 6 of the last 10. Ignacio Buse limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 6 wins in 10.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Mannarino fractionally more likely to land the big points.