Adrian Mannarino and Juncheng Shang meet in the round of 32 at Chengdu on Thursday. Juncheng Shang limps in on a 3-match losing skid, just 3 wins in 10. Adrian Mannarino is 3-7 across recent matches.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. Little separates them; Shang gets the nod on the finest of margins.