Adrian Mannarino and Lorenzo Sonego meet in the round of 32 at Winston-Salem on Wednesday. Lorenzo Sonego comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Adrian Mannarino is searching for form, having lost 3 in a row (3 of the last 10).

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Sonego is exactly that — a lean.