US Open · R128 · Hard · best of 5 · Aug 31, 2026, 4:55 PM UTC
Adrian Mannarino vs Thiago Agustin Tirante — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · August 31, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Result
✗ Pick wrong
Adrian Mannarino won 4-6 3-6 6-3 6-3 6-3
We got this one wrong. Our final number was 62% on Thiago Agustin Tirante; Adrian Mannarino won 4-6 3-6 6-3 6-3 6-3.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Monday, when Adrian Mannarino goes up against Thiago Agustin Tirante in the US Open first round. Thiago Agustin Tirante comes in at 8 wins from the last ten. Adrian Mannarino limps in on a 4-match losing skid, just 3 wins in 10.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. The edge belongs to Tirante — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Adrian Mannarino
1743
Thiago Agustin Tirante
1797
Overall rating
Adrian Mannarino
1748
Thiago Agustin Tirante
1899
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Adrian Mannarino
Thiago Agustin Tirante
1st serve in
59.9%
61.1%
1st serve points won
70.3%
70.3%
2nd serve points won
51.9%
52.5%
Form
Adrian Mannarino
3–7
Thiago Agustin Tirante
8–2
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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Frequently asked questions
Who won Adrian Mannarino vs Thiago Agustin Tirante at US Open?
Adrian Mannarino won 4-6 3-6 6-3 6-3 6-3.
Was the Adrian Mannarino vs Thiago Agustin Tirante prediction correct?
We got this one wrong. Our final number was 62% on Thiago Agustin Tirante; Adrian Mannarino won 4-6 3-6 6-3 6-3 6-3.