Ajla Tomljanovic and Dayana Yastremska meet in the round of 16 at Hertogenbosch on Friday. Dayana Yastremska is 4-6 across recent matches. Ajla Tomljanovic has dropped 5 straight and sits at 3-7 over the last ten.

The ledger favors Dayana Yastremska, 3-0 across their 3 meetings with Ajla Tomljanovic.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Tomljanovic comes in off a compressed schedule. Anything other than a Yastremska win would rank among the bigger surprises of the week.