Thursday's Guangzhou round of 16 pits Akira Santillan against Liam Broady on hard. Liam Broady comes in at 3 wins from the last ten. Akira Santillan comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Broady is exactly that — a lean.