Thursday's Guangzhou round of 16 pits Akira Santillan against Liam Broady on hard. Liam Broady comes in at 3 wins from the last ten. Akira Santillan comes in at 4 wins from the last ten.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Broady is exactly that — a lean.
The numbers behind the pick
Serve
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Akira Santillan | Liam Broady |
|---|
| 1st serve in | 62% | 61.2% |
| 1st serve points won | 71.1% | 67.4% |
| 2nd serve points won | 49.3% | 49.5% |
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
What Pro unlocksTomorrow's card, before the first ball
One email each morning with the day's free picks in full, tennis included, published before play starts and graded afterwards. Our nine-chapter beginner's guide to prediction markets comes with it, free. Unsubscribe anytime.