A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Akira Santillan goes up against Pavel Kotov in the Guangzhou 2 round of 16. Pavel Kotov comes in at 5 wins from the last ten. Akira Santillan is 5-5 across recent matches.

Pavel Kotov is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Kotov around 73%. Kotov comes in off a compressed schedule. If Kotov plays anywhere close to a normal level, this ends in relatively comfortable fashion.