A spot in the next round is at stake on Thursday, when Alberto Caniato Carlo goes up against Francesco Passaro in the Palermo (Italy) round of 16. Alberto Caniato Carlo brings a 5-match winning streak into this one, 5-5 across the last ten. Francesco Passaro has won 3 of the last 10.

On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Carlo is exactly that — a lean.