Lisbon · R16 · Clay · best of 3 · Oct 21, 2026, 5:05 PM UTC
Alberto Caniato Carlo vs Marco Trungelliti — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · October 21, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Result
✓ Pick right
Marco Trungelliti won 4-6 7-6 6-3
We got this one right. Marco Trungelliti was our 59% pick, and won 4-6 7-6 6-3.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Alberto Caniato Carlo goes up against Marco Trungelliti in the Lisbon round of 16. Marco Trungelliti is 6-4 across recent matches. Alberto Caniato Carlo has won 6 in a row and 6 of the last 10 overall.
There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Trungelliti is exactly that — a lean.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Clay rating
Alberto Caniato Carlo
1590
Marco Trungelliti
1749
Overall rating
Alberto Caniato Carlo
1571
Marco Trungelliti
1741
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Alberto Caniato Carlo
Marco Trungelliti
1st serve in
62.4%
58.8%
1st serve points won
71%
67.2%
2nd serve points won
54.6%
48.5%
Form
Alberto Caniato Carlo
6–4
Marco Trungelliti
6–4
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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Frequently asked questions
Who won Alberto Caniato Carlo vs Marco Trungelliti at Lisbon?
Marco Trungelliti won 4-6 7-6 6-3.
Was the Alberto Caniato Carlo vs Marco Trungelliti prediction correct?
We got this one right. Marco Trungelliti was our 59% pick, and won 4-6 7-6 6-3.