Hamburg · R16 · Clay · best of 3 · May 20, 2026, 5:30 PM UTC

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex De Minaur — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · May 20, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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Result

✗ Pick wrong

Alex De Minaur won 6-2 4-6 6-4

Missed it. We had Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at 50%, but Alex De Minaur won 6-2 4-6 6-4.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Alex De Minaur meet in the round of 16 at Hamburg on Wednesday. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has won 5 of the last 10. Alex De Minaur has won 3 in a row and 6 of the last 10 overall.

Alex De Minaur has had the better of this rivalry, winning 4 of 6 against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. On clay they're dead even at 1-1 — worth more than the overall number this week.

Neither the serve numbers nor the ratings separate these two by much, which is why our number stays close to even. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Fokina fractionally more likely to land the big points.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Clay rating

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

1795

Alex De Minaur

1904

Overall rating

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

1958

Alex De Minaur

2036

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	Alex De Minaur
1st serve in	68.2%	57.4%
1st serve points won	66.9%	68.9%
2nd serve points won	52.4%	52.8%

Form

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

5–5

Alex De Minaur

6–4

Head to head

Alex De Minaur leads the head-to-head 4-2. On clay: level at 1-1.

Full Fokina vs Minaur history →

The rest of the numbers

This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.

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Frequently asked questions

Who won Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex De Minaur at Hamburg?: Alex De Minaur won 6-2 4-6 6-4.
Was the Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex De Minaur prediction correct?: Missed it. We had Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at 50%, but Alex De Minaur won 6-2 4-6 6-4.
What is the head-to-head record between Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Alex De Minaur?: Alex De Minaur leads the head-to-head 4-2. On clay: level at 1-1.