Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Damir Dzumhur meet in the first round at French Open on Sunday. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is 5-5 across recent matches. Damir Dzumhur has won 5 of the last 10.

The ledger favors Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, 3-0 across their 3 meetings with Damir Dzumhur. On clay specifically it reads 2-0 Fokina — worth more than the overall number this week.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Fokina is exactly that — a lean.