Chengdu · F · Hard · best of 3 · Sep 29, 2026, 11:10 AM UTC

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Hubert Hurkacz — result and pick review

By The Maiden Desk · September 29, 2026

Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.

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Result

✗ Pick wrong

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won 6-4 7-6

Missed it. We had Hubert Hurkacz at 53%, but Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won 6-4 7-6.

Tuesday brings the Chengdu final: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina against Hubert Hurkacz. Hubert Hurkacz has won 3 in a row and 8 of the last 10 overall. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is 8-2 across recent matches.

The serve is where this match separates: Hurkacz has been winning 75.9% of first-serve points to Fokina's 67.1%, and on hard that gap compounds fast. Fokina comes in off a compressed schedule; Hurkacz comes in off a compressed schedule. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Hurkacz is exactly that — a lean.

The numbers behind the pick

Surface ratings

Hard rating

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

1895

Hubert Hurkacz

1933

Overall rating

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

1958

Hubert Hurkacz

1989

Serve

Serve (last 52 weeks)	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	Hubert Hurkacz
1st serve in	68.3%	63.2%
1st serve points won	67.1%	75.9%
2nd serve points won	52.4%	49.3%

Form

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

8–2

Hubert Hurkacz

8–2

The rest of the numbers

This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.

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Frequently asked questions

Who won Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Hubert Hurkacz at Chengdu?: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won 6-4 7-6.
Was the Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Hubert Hurkacz prediction correct?: Missed it. We had Hubert Hurkacz at 53%, but Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won 6-4 7-6.