Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won 1-6 6-3 7-6
We got this one wrong. Our final number was 54% on Hubert Hurkacz; Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won 1-6 6-3 7-6.
Tuesday's Shanghai round of 16 pits Alejandro Davidovich Fokina against Hubert Hurkacz on hard. Hubert Hurkacz is rolling — 6 straight wins, 9 of 10 in recent play. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has won 7 of the last 10.
Hurkacz's 75.9% behind the first serve (against 67.3% for Fokina) means break chances should be scarce in one direction. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Hurkacz fractionally more likely to land the big points.
Hard rating
Overall rating
| Serve (last 52 weeks) | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | Hubert Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| 1st serve in | 68.3% | 63.2% |
| 1st serve points won | 67.3% | 75.9% |
| 2nd serve points won | 52.5% | 49.3% |
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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