Shanghai · R64 · Hard · best of 3 · Oct 9, 2026, 8:00 AM UTC
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Jenson Brooksby — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · October 9, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Result
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Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won 6-1 6-3
We got this one right. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina was our 68% pick, and won 6-1 6-3.
A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Alejandro Davidovich Fokina goes up against Jenson Brooksby in the Shanghai round of 64. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has won 7 of the last 10. Jenson Brooksby has won 4 of the last 10.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Fokina around 68%. The edge belongs to Fokina — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
1895
Jenson Brooksby
1770
Overall rating
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
1958
Jenson Brooksby
1791
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Jenson Brooksby
1st serve in
68.3%
63.5%
1st serve points won
67.1%
67%
2nd serve points won
52.4%
50.1%
Form
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
7–3
Jenson Brooksby
4–6
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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