A spot in the next round is at stake on Friday, when Alejandro Davidovich Fokina goes up against Jenson Brooksby in the Shanghai round of 64. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has won 7 of the last 10. Jenson Brooksby has won 4 of the last 10.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Fokina around 68%. The edge belongs to Fokina — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.