A spot in the next round is at stake on Saturday, when Alejandro Davidovich Fokina goes up against Juan Manuel Cerundolo in the Chengdu round of 16. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina comes in at 8 wins from the last ten. Juan Manuel Cerundolo has won 5 of the last 10.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on hard, and our number follows from it. Expect resistance, but the match-level math tilts clearly toward Fokina.