A spot in the next round is at stake on Wednesday, when Alejandro Davidovich Fokina goes up against Marco Trungelliti in the Umag round of 16. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina comes in at 9 wins from the last ten. Marco Trungelliti comes in at 5 wins from the last ten.

Marco Trungelliti leads the head-to-head 1-0, and history has a way of mattering in matchups like this one.

There's a wide gap in our ratings on clay, and our number follows from it. This one is close to a coin flip, and the lean toward Fokina is exactly that — a lean.