Chengdu · SF · Hard · best of 3 · Sep 28, 2026, 9:10 AM UTC
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Nikoloz Basilashvili — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · September 28, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Result
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Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won 4-6 6-4 6-3
We got this one right. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina was our 64% pick, and won 4-6 6-4 6-3.
Monday's Chengdu semifinal pits Alejandro Davidovich Fokina against Nikoloz Basilashvili on hard. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina comes in at 8 wins from the last ten. Nikoloz Basilashvili is 5-5 across recent matches.
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Fokina around 64%. The edge belongs to Fokina — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
1895
Nikoloz Basilashvili
1669
Overall rating
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
1958
Nikoloz Basilashvili
1696
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Nikoloz Basilashvili
1st serve in
68.3%
58%
1st serve points won
67.1%
68.6%
2nd serve points won
52.4%
48.8%
Form
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
8–2
Nikoloz Basilashvili
5–5
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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Frequently asked questions
Who won Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Nikoloz Basilashvili at Chengdu?
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won 4-6 6-4 6-3.
Was the Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Nikoloz Basilashvili prediction correct?
We got this one right. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina was our 64% pick, and won 4-6 6-4 6-3.