Monday's Chengdu semifinal pits Alejandro Davidovich Fokina against Nikoloz Basilashvili on hard. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina comes in at 8 wins from the last ten. Nikoloz Basilashvili is 5-5 across recent matches.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is clearly higher-rated on hard — our number puts Fokina around 64%. The edge belongs to Fokina — real, but not the kind you take for granted at this level.