Shanghai · F · Hard · best of 3 · Oct 18, 2026, 8:40 AM UTC
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar — result and pick review
By The Maiden Desk · October 18, 2026
Every number below was fixed before the match and graded against the official result.
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Result
✗ Pick wrong
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won 1-6 7-6 6-4
We got this one wrong. Our final number was 54% on Rafael Jodar; Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won 1-6 7-6 6-4.
Sunday brings the Shanghai final: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina against Rafael Jodar. Rafael Jodar has won 4 in a row and 7 of the last 10 overall. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has won 3 in a row and 8 of the last 10 overall.
On paper it's close: comparable ratings, comparable serve numbers, small margins everywhere. Fokina comes in off a compressed schedule; Jodar comes in off a compressed schedule. A tiebreak or two would surprise nobody, with Jodar fractionally more likely to land the big points.
The numbers behind the pick
Surface ratings
Hard rating
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
1976
Rafael Jodar
1968
Overall rating
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
2024
Rafael Jodar
2070
Serve
Serve (last 52 weeks)
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Rafael Jodar
1st serve in
68.3%
62.1%
1st serve points won
67.3%
69.5%
2nd serve points won
52.5%
51.5%
Form
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
8–2
Rafael Jodar
7–3
The rest of the numbers
This page shows one set score: the most likely way our pick wins. Pro puts a number on every other score the match could end in, including the ones where our pick loses.
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Frequently asked questions
Who won Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar at Shanghai?
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won 1-6 7-6 6-4.
Was the Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Rafael Jodar prediction correct?
We got this one wrong. Our final number was 54% on Rafael Jodar; Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won 1-6 7-6 6-4.